Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 23.002207 26.602795 30.496023 35.007795 40.081224 45.598543 52.040905
2025-02-09 16.878463 21.860837 27.769746 35.240690 44.376020 55.120923 68.647559
2025-02-16 13.095782 18.593616 25.613339 35.111612 47.488963 62.918743 83.433585
2025-02-23 10.466957 16.093932 23.747112 34.708404 49.759026 69.422654 96.725407
2025-03-02 8.615723 14.232916 22.314488 34.479047 51.949430 75.699068 109.891559
2025-03-09 7.197779 12.711906 21.066528 34.221254 53.886900 81.572710 122.709990
2025-03-16 5.672939 10.737565 18.829406 32.163183 52.908936 83.138092 129.455789
2025-03-23 5.083937 10.182976 18.686982 33.217363 56.547255 91.465382 146.251269
2025-03-30 4.668050 9.850693 18.839687 34.709889 60.917146 101.083888 165.431547
2025-04-06 3.952705 8.848266 17.720723 33.963634 61.625340 105.128589 176.405145
2025-04-13 3.234183 7.707683 16.198055 32.337013 60.703518 106.499097 183.250564
2025-04-20 3.057421 7.624820 16.585494 34.079482 65.518454 117.210663 205.216218
2025-04-27 2.993175 7.800261 17.536524 37.034664 72.819256 132.675763 236.088112
2025-05-04 2.659780 7.335684 17.199725 37.599978 76.039655 141.727289 257.296150
2025-05-11 2.311247 6.765469 16.568091 37.523400 78.082420 148.905586 275.805257
2025-05-18 1.986431 6.180566 15.815638 37.107563 79.430409 154.923627 292.630544
2025-05-25 1.722465 5.689745 15.191191 36.866700 81.056209 161.477441 310.652330
2025-06-01 1.493966 5.239901 14.589334 36.594020 82.571300 167.882368 328.691676
2025-06-08 1.189822 4.497025 13.181932 34.413512 80.109180 166.883547 333.605265
2025-06-15 1.101550 4.374928 13.262367 35.530593 84.378617 178.520120 361.603204
2025-06-22 1.042801 4.332488 13.536644 37.111670 89.708279 192.406533 394.273708
2025-06-29 0.887779 3.934003 12.827472 36.321212 89.985601 196.680822 409.513803
2025-07-06 0.721040 3.442410 11.782996 34.597748 88.102030 196.636759 416.687356